Portfolio Equity
Full portfolio balance from backtest start. Includes unrealized PnL from open positions. The highlighted region shows your currently selected time period.
Liquidity-aware curve (light blue)
The light-blue curve limits every position to 2% of its market's 30-day traded volume across the exchanges we execute on — the same limit live trading enforces. From the marked date (2024-07-06) onward, theoretical performance is limited by the traded volume of the smaller altcoins, not by the strategy. At today's volumes this limit starts to matter for portfolios above roughly $250k; the threshold moves with market volumes.
5 largest drawdowns (marked red in the chart)
- −25.9% 2022-11-05 → 2022-11-09 (recovered 2023-01-12)
- −23.4% 2020-03-02 → 2020-03-12 (recovered 2020-04-08)
- −20.3% 2026-05-10 → 2026-06-06 (recovered 2026-08-21)
- −15.6% 2021-05-20 → 2021-05-23 (recovered 2021-05-24)
- −15.4% 2022-05-06 → 2022-05-12 (recovered 2022-05-30)
5 largest intraday drawdowns (light red, measured against intraday lows)
- −34.0% 2020-03-02 → 2020-03-13 (recovered 2020-04-08)
- −32.0% 2021-05-20 → 2021-05-23 (recovered 2021-05-24)
- −31.2% 2022-11-05 → 2022-11-09 (recovered 2023-01-12)
- −28.6% 2021-05-18 → 2021-05-19 (recovered 2021-05-20)
- −27.0% 2024-04-08 → 2024-04-13 (recovered 2024-04-14)
Important: The performance figures shown are historical and provided for informational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. These results do not constitute investment advice, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument.
Max Drawdown
Smart-HODL
2.02 2.02%
Lower drawdown pain, faster recoveries, and shorter time spent underwater.
vs
Multi-Asset Buy & Hold
8.85%
Deep, prolonged drawdowns that keep capital trapped for months or years.
Profit
Smart-HODL
4.15 +4.15%
+$421,866
Combined profit from 46 positions across 26 strategies ($534,859,741 deployed).
vs
Multi-Asset Buy & Hold
-4.84%
-$13,243
Multi-Asset Buy & Hold return since Oct 1, 2026 (portfolio was $273,659 at start).
One-time cost at purchase. No ongoing trading fees for holding.
Risk Acknowledgment
Cryptocurrency and digital asset trading carries a high level of risk, including the possible loss of all capital. You should carefully consider whether such trading is appropriate for your financial situation, experience, and risk tolerance. The software does not provide personalized investment, financial, tax, or legal advice and should not be relied upon as such.
Positions
| Date | Strategy | Entry Price | Close Price | Close Time | Qty | Status | PNL | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | Cosmos, DD | $2.264 | — | — | 1,865,478.05 | Open | -6.408% -$650,607.86 incl. -$6,334 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$4,223 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$2,111 Total (0.15%):-$6,334 | View |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Aave, DD | $203.78 | — | — | 8,845.7 | Open | -2.716% -$275,735.40 incl. -$2,704 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$1,803 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$901 Total (0.15%):-$2,704 | View |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Solana, DD | $145.42 | — | — | 12,405.3 | Open | -4.105% -$416,770.57 incl. -$2,706 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$1,804 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$902 Total (0.15%):-$2,706 | View |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Polkadot, DD | $2.619 | — | — | 1,157,034.25 | Open | -15.596% -$1,583,504.35 incl. -$4,546 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$3,030 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$1,515 Total (0.15%):-$4,546 | View |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Cardano, DD | $0.2772 | — | — | 26,461,722.5 | Open | -6.736% -$683,982.60 incl. -$11,005 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$7,336 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$3,668 Total (0.15%):-$11,005 | View |
| Mar 3, 2026 | PAX Gold, L | $4,567.66 | — | — | 8,763.0235 | Open | -30.927% -$3,140,178.73 incl. -$60,040 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$40,027 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$20,013 Total (0.15%):-$60,040 | View |
| May 27, 2026 | Tron, L | $0.35716 | — | — | 71,434,527.34999999 | Open | -19.026% -$1,931,803.92 incl. -$38,271 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$25,514 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$12,757 Total (0.15%):-$38,271 | View |
| May 28, 2026 | Tron, L2 | $0.34034 | — | — | 53,807,760.25 | Open | -5.414% -$549,753.89 incl. -$27,469 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$18,313 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$9,156 Total (0.15%):-$27,469 | View |
| Sep 23, 2026 11:00 | Invesco QQQ (NASDAQ-100), L 1H | $743.36 | $749.71 | Oct 1, 2026 05:00 | 39,197.455 | Closed | +2.166% +$219,909.15 incl. -$43,707 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$29,138 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$14,569 Total (0.15%):-$43,707 | View |
| Sep 23, 2026 11:00 | Invesco QQQ (NASDAQ-100), L2 1H | $741.26 | $749.71 | Oct 1, 2026 05:00 | 39,328.805 | Closed | +2.985% +$303,079.87 incl. -$43,729 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$29,153 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$14,576 Total (0.15%):-$43,729 | View |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Render, L | $1.945 | $1.973 | Oct 2, 2026 | 7,397,977.055 | Closed | +1.916% +$194,523.25 incl. -$21,581 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$14,387 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$7,194 Total (0.15%):-$21,581 | View |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Cosmos, L | $1.721 | $2.063 | Oct 9, 2026 | 14,114,119.3 | Closed | +47.297% +$4,802,286.15 incl. -$36,432 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$24,288 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$12,144 Total (0.15%):-$36,432 | View |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Polkadot, L | $1.109 | $1.235 | Oct 9, 2026 | 34,132,011.95 | Closed | +42.016% +$4,266,109.37 incl. -$56,785 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$37,857 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$18,928 Total (0.15%):-$56,785 | View |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Chainlink, L | $14.084 | $14.101 | Oct 3, 2026 | 2,571,761.28 | Closed | +0.077% +$7,817.21 incl. -$54,330 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$36,220 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$18,110 Total (0.15%):-$54,330 | View |
| Oct 1, 2026 07:00 | Invesco QQQ (NASDAQ-100), L 1H | $743.15 | $748.34 | Oct 2, 2026 08:00 | 42,310.455 | Closed | +1.850% +$187,888.32 incl. -$47,164 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$31,443 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$15,721 Total (0.15%):-$47,164 | View |
| Oct 1, 2026 07:00 | Invesco QQQ (NASDAQ-100), L2 1H | $741.32 | $748.34 | Oct 2, 2026 08:00 | 16,989.305 | Closed | +1.049% +$106,488.48 incl. -$18,892 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$12,595 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$6,297 Total (0.15%):-$18,892 | View |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Sui, L | $1.1166 | $1.1828 | Oct 3, 2026 | 13,266,341.465 | Closed | +8.507% +$863,753.20 incl. -$22,219 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$14,813 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$7,406 Total (0.15%):-$22,219 | View |
| Oct 2, 2026 13:00 | Invesco QQQ (NASDAQ-100), L 1H | $749.84 | $756.08 | Oct 5, 2026 19:00 | 41,304.59 | Closed | +2.231% +$226,541.59 incl. -$46,458 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$30,972 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$15,486 Total (0.15%):-$46,458 | View |
| Oct 2, 2026 18:00 | Zcash, L 1H | $1,286.19 | $1,288.59 | Oct 2, 2026 21:00 | 7,673.755 | Closed | +0.084% +$8,495.67 incl. -$14,805 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$9,870 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$4,935 Total (0.15%):-$14,805 | View |
| Oct 2, 2026 18:00 | Ripple, L 1H | $1.4454 | $1.4626 | Oct 2, 2026 18:00 | 8,308,122.25 | Closed | +1.290% +$130,941.12 incl. -$18,012 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$12,008 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$6,004 Total (0.15%):-$18,012 | View |
| Oct 2, 2026 18:00 | Dogecoin, L 1H | $0.09093 | $0.09138 | Oct 2, 2026 19:00 | 100,153,300.5 | Closed | +0.359% +$36,497.60 incl. -$13,660 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$9,107 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$4,553 Total (0.15%):-$13,660 | View |
| Oct 2, 2026 | VeChain, L | $0.008285 | $0.008728 | Oct 3, 2026 | 2,200,945,626.5 | Closed | +9.400% +$954,412.42 incl. -$27,352 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$18,235 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$9,117 Total (0.15%):-$27,352 | View |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Monero, L3 | $556.01 | $539.40 | Oct 8, 2026 | 19,310.97 | Closed | -3.263% -$331,287.49 incl. -$16,106 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$10,737 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$5,369 Total (0.15%):-$16,106 | View |
| Oct 5, 2026 14:00 | Chainlink, L 1H | $13.661 | $13.811 | Oct 5, 2026 16:00 | 667,852.83 | Closed | +0.899% +$91,265.50 incl. -$13,685 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$9,123 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$4,562 Total (0.15%):-$13,685 | View |
| Oct 6, 2026 01:00 | Invesco QQQ (NASDAQ-100), L 1H | $758.75 | — | — | 40,524.305 | Open | -1.556% -$157,971.52 incl. -$46,122 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$30,748 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$15,374 Total (0.15%):-$46,122 | View |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Sui, L | $1.0889 | $1.0687 | Oct 9, 2026 | 28,419,351.825 | Closed | -5.960% -$605,149.51 incl. -$46,418 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$30,945 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$15,473 Total (0.15%):-$46,418 | View |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Render, L | $1.966 | $1.930 | Oct 10, 2026 | 15,018,592.28 | Closed | -5.606% -$569,154.83 incl. -$44,289 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$29,526 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$14,763 Total (0.15%):-$44,289 | View |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Dogecoin, L | $0.08594 | $0.08671 | Oct 11, 2026 | 286,324,355.5 | Closed | +1.933% +$196,252.99 incl. -$36,908 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$24,605 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$12,303 Total (0.15%):-$36,908 | View |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Cardano, L | $0.2412 | $0.2490 | Oct 10, 2026 | 109,308,472 | Closed | +8.131% +$825,569.48 incl. -$39,544 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$26,363 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$13,181 Total (0.15%):-$39,544 | View |
| Oct 7, 2026 02:00 | Chainlink, L 1H | $13.269 | $13.607 | Oct 7, 2026 03:00 | 680,431.89 | Closed | +2.178% +$221,186.90 incl. -$13,543 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$9,028 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$4,514 Total (0.15%):-$13,543 | View |
| Oct 7, 2026 09:00 | Invesco QQQ (NASDAQ-100), L2 1H | $753.29 | — | — | 41,619.995 | Open | +0.641% +$65,120.97 incl. -$47,028 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$31,352 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$15,676 Total (0.15%):-$47,028 | View |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Solana, L | $113.62 | — | — | 129,932.35 | Open | -2.306% -$234,113.02 incl. -$22,145 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$14,763 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$7,382 Total (0.15%):-$22,145 | View |
| Oct 7, 2026 | VeChain, L | $0.007773 | $0.007841 | Oct 9, 2026 | 4,748,124,085 | Closed | +2.811% +$285,465.13 incl. -$55,361 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$36,907 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$18,454 Total (0.15%):-$55,361 | View |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Hyperliquid, DD | $84.222 | — | — | 29,250.205 | Open | +0.751% +$76,296.70 incl. -$3,695 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$2,463 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$1,232 Total (0.15%):-$3,695 | View |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Binance Coin, L | $746.29 | $741.83 | Oct 9, 2026 | 12,267.95 | Closed | -0.628% -$63,803.86 incl. -$13,733 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$9,155 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$4,578 Total (0.15%):-$13,733 | View |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Binance Coin, L2 | $719.89 | $741.83 | Oct 9, 2026 | 12,267.95 | Closed | +2.562% +$260,162.00 incl. -$13,247 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$8,832 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$4,416 Total (0.15%):-$13,247 | View |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Sui, L2 | $1.0016 | $1.0687 | Oct 9, 2026 | 14,784,562.86 | Closed | +9.616% +$976,376.56 incl. -$22,212 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$14,808 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$7,404 Total (0.15%):-$22,212 | View |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Zcash, L | $1,126.73 | $1,204.67 | Oct 9, 2026 | 10,922.425 | Closed | +8.258% +$838,489.06 incl. -$18,460 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$12,307 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$6,153 Total (0.15%):-$18,460 | View |
| Oct 8, 2026 15:00 | Ripple, L 1H | $1.3505 | $1.3582 | Oct 8, 2026 18:00 | 9,146,540.4 | Closed | +0.574% +$58,285.55 incl. -$18,529 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$12,352 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$6,176 Total (0.15%):-$18,529 | View |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Chainlink, L | $12.468 | $12.797 | Oct 9, 2026 | 1,480,586.58 | Closed | +4.607% +$467,763.59 incl. -$27,690 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$18,460 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$9,230 Total (0.15%):-$27,690 | View |
| Oct 8, 2026 15:00 | Bitcoin, L 1H | $81,318.8 | $81,426.2 | Oct 8, 2026 18:00 | 166.401 | Closed | +0.043% +$4,322.09 incl. -$20,297 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$13,532 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$6,766 Total (0.15%):-$20,297 | View |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Render, L2 | $1.793 | $1.930 | Oct 10, 2026 | 8,235,726.675 | Closed | +10.984% +$1,115,225.30 incl. -$22,147 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$14,765 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$7,382 Total (0.15%):-$22,147 | View |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Solana, L2 | $106.67 | — | — | 69,218.3 | Open | +3.514% +$356,820.34 incl. -$11,075 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$7,383 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$3,692 Total (0.15%):-$11,075 | View |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Aave, L | $162.45 | $167.14 | Oct 9, 2026 | 75,756.9 | Closed | +3.374% +$342,580.05 incl. -$18,460 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$12,307 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$6,153 Total (0.15%):-$18,460 | View |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Monero, DD | $519.14 | $537.61 | Oct 11, 2026 | 2,373.99 | Closed | +0.420% +$42,597.08 incl. -$1,849 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$1,232 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$616 Total (0.15%):-$1,849 | View |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cosmos, L | $1.943 | — | — | 7,268,576.45 | Open | -2.012% -$204,247.00 incl. -$21,185 costs Taker fee (2×0.05%):-$14,124 Entry slippage (0%, limit-style):-$0 Exit slippage (0.05%):-$7,062 Total (0.15%):-$21,185 | View |
How is this calculated?
This shows the equity change compared to the start of the selected month. It includes both realized PnL (closed trades) and unrealized PnL (open positions at current market price).
For the current month, this value updates daily as market prices change — even without new trades.
For past months, the value is fixed based on the last daily equity snapshot of that month.
Legal Disclaimer
This page is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any financial instrument, and nothing herein constitutes financial, tax, legal, or investment advice. Your use of the software and interpretation of the data presented is at your own risk.
Legal Compliance
Users are responsible for determining whether use of this information is legal in their jurisdiction. This site does not provide legal, financial, or tax advice.
Portfolio Backtest Methodology
The portfolio view simulates all strategies trading together with shared capital — matching how live trading operates on one shared exchange balance.
Portfolio Simulation
- • Shared Equity: All strategies share one capital pool ($1,000 per strategy). When one strategy profits, all strategies get proportionally larger allocations.
- • Allocation Cap: Each strategy is limited to max 10% of portfolio equity per day, preventing any single strategy from dominating during bull markets.
- • Daily Rebalancing: Allocations are recalculated each day from the total portfolio cash, matching how the live executor distributes capital across strategies.
Costs & Realistic Modeling
- • Trading Fees: 0.05% taker fee per trade (Binance Futures VIP 0 level)
- • Slippage: 0% on L/L2 entries (limit-style fills) and 0.05% on exits — simulates real-world market impact (0.15% round-trip cost per trade)
- • Drawdown Tracking: Equity is tracked daily including unrealized PnL from open positions. Drawdowns reflect real underwater periods, not just realized losses.
- • Funding Rates: Excluded. Smart-HODL trades longs during dips when funding is typically neutral or negative (favorable for longs).
Data & Execution
- • Multi-Timeframe: Strategies use both daily (1D) and hourly (1H) candles for entry detection, matching the live executor behavior.
- • Data Source: Binance Futures USDT perpetual contracts. Spot market data used for warmup periods before futures listing.
- • Period: January 2020 to present (in-sample). Independently validated against 2017-2019 (out-of-sample) — see below. Each strategy activates when sufficient data becomes available for its asset.
- • Updated: Results are recalculated nightly with the latest market data.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Backtests are simulations and actual trading may differ due to market conditions, liquidity, and execution timing.
Out-of-Sample Validation (2017-2019)
A strategy that only works on the data it was tuned on is overfitted. To prove Smart-HODL is not overfitted to the 2020-present regime, we ran the exact same strategy parameters against an entirely independent window — 2017-01-01 to 2019-12-31 — that was never used during parameter tuning. This window is dominated by the 2018 bear market, when most crypto assets lost 75-90% of their value.
What this proves: The same parameters that produce strong returns in the 2020-present regime also stayed positive — and well above passive holding — in the worst bear market crypto has ever seen. The system is regime-aware, not regime-specific.
What it does not promise: Bear-market years will look like the 5% number, not the larger headline CAGR shown in bull-market backtests. A realistic long-run expectation blends both regimes. Live results will differ from any backtest due to slippage, latency, and exchange behavior under stress.
Honest tier: We classify Smart-HODL as a solid retail-quant strategy — top of the publicly available systematic-strategy bracket, but not institutional hedge-fund tier (e.g. Renaissance, Citadel, Two Sigma). Six years of crypto-cycle data is not a substitute for multi-decade, multi-regime institutional track records, and we size and communicate accordingly.
OOS data: Binance Spot 1D + 1H. Universe restricted to symbols listed before 2019-09 with ≥120 days warmup.