Features How it works Pricing About us

How we trade

Portfolio Equity

Full portfolio balance from backtest start. Includes unrealized PnL from open positions. The highlighted region shows your currently selected time period.

Important: The performance figures shown are historical and provided for informational purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results. These results do not constitute investment advice, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument.

Max Drawdown

Smart-HODL

13.05 13.05%

Lower drawdown pain, faster recoveries, and shorter time spent underwater.

Multi-Asset Buy & Hold

20.34%

Deep, prolonged drawdowns that keep capital trapped for months or years.

Profit

Smart-HODL

5.24 -5.24%

-$10,833,242

Combined profit from 37 positions across 17 strategies ($200,970,642 deployed).

Multi-Asset Buy & Hold

-15.82%

-$31,734

Multi-Asset Buy & Hold return since Jun 1, 2026 (portfolio was $200,565 at start).

Risk Acknowledgment

Cryptocurrency and digital asset trading carries a high level of risk, including the possible loss of all capital. You should carefully consider whether such trading is appropriate for your financial situation, experience, and risk tolerance. The software does not provide personalized investment, financial, tax, or legal advice and should not be relied upon as such.

Positions

Date Strategy Entry Price Close Price Close Time Qty Status PNL Chart
Oct 16, 2025 Cosmos, DD $2.266 1,452,501.55 Open -0.181% -$373,961.05 incl. -$4,938 costs View
Nov 11, 2025 Aave, DD $203.78 6,894.55 Open -0.465% -$961,318.57 incl. -$2,107 costs View
Nov 12, 2025 Solana, DD $145.42 9,669 Open -0.367% -$758,109.43 incl. -$2,109 costs View
Nov 12, 2025 Polkadot, DD $2.619 902,140.4 Open -0.723% -$1,493,937.29 incl. -$3,544 costs View
Jan 18, 2026 23:00 Chainlink, L 1H $13.230 592,023.42 Open -1.528% -$3,159,473.88 incl. -$11,748 costs View
Jan 19, 2026 00:00 Chainlink, L2 1H $9.213 810,811.085 Open -0.518% -$1,070,119.01 incl. -$11,205 costs View
Jan 20, 2026 Cardano, DD $0.2774 20,393,532.5 Open -1.060% -$2,192,182.38 incl. -$8,486 costs View
Jan 29, 2026 Solana, L $99.68 95,820.9 Open -1.514% -$3,130,245.35 incl. -$14,327 costs View
Jan 29, 2026 Aave, L $126.06 126,275.9 Open -3.769% -$7,792,823.07 incl. -$23,878 costs View
Jan 31, 2026 Polkadot, L $1.096 16,857,186.8 Open -1.085% -$2,242,629.56 incl. -$27,714 costs View
Jan 31, 2026 Solana, L2 $98.21 32,233.2 Open -0.486% -$1,005,724.19 incl. -$4,749 costs View
Mar 3, 2026 PAX Gold, L $4,567.66 6,740.089 Open -1.165% -$2,409,609.51 incl. -$46,180 costs View
May 11, 2026 Sui, L $1.1879 19,023,089.34 Open -4.018% -$8,308,163.06 incl. -$33,897 costs View
May 26, 2026 Zcash, L $569.58 $609.14 Jun 2, 2026 10,933.75 Closed +0.206% +$425,994.43 incl. -$9,342 costs View
May 27, 2026 Tron, L $0.35717 53,812,384.25 Open -1.096% -$2,266,685.25 incl. -$28,830 costs View
May 28, 2026 Tron, L2 $0.35210 18,195,710.05 Open -0.326% -$674,223.84 incl. -$9,610 costs View
May 28, 2026 Cosmos, L $1.834 $2.033 Jun 11, 2026 10,219,659.65 Closed +0.974% +$2,012,906.39 incl. -$28,116 costs View
May 30, 2026 Monero, DD $351.70 $362.91 Jun 3, 2026 7,121.9165 Closed +0.037% +$77,252.65 incl. -$3,757 costs View
Jun 1, 2026 Binance Coin, L $623.85 37,525.5 Open -0.334% -$691,226.58 incl. -$35,115 costs View
Jun 2, 2026 Ripple, L $1.1566 $1.1671 Jun 8, 2026 10,879,754.1 Closed +0.049% +$101,773.79 incl. -$18,875 costs View
Jun 2, 2026 Dogecoin, L $0.08889 141,562,197 Open -0.192% -$396,374.15 incl. -$18,875 costs View
Jun 2, 2026 Bitcoin, L $63,446.8 $63,566.2 Jun 11, 2026 198.3315 Closed +0.005% +$11,082.56 incl. -$18,875 costs View
Jun 2, 2026 VeChain, L $0.005510 $0.005582 Jun 3, 2026 1,705,323,281.5 Closed +0.055% +$112,910.36 incl. -$14,094 costs View
Jun 2, 2026 Cardano, L $0.1806 111,939,640.5 Open -0.579% -$1,197,306.39 incl. -$30,324 costs View
Jun 2, 2026 Dogecoin, L2 $0.09185 68,195,078 Open -0.190% -$393,008.23 incl. -$9,396 costs View
Jun 4, 2026 01:00 Render, L 1H $2.056 $2.093 Jun 4, 2026 03:00 3,073,142.925 Closed +0.052% +$108,074.93 incl. -$9,476 costs View
Jun 4, 2026 02:00 Zcash, L 1H $558.41 $592.47 Jun 4, 2026 03:00 8,854.25 Closed +0.143% +$296,551.24 incl. -$7,416 costs View
Jun 4, 2026 Render, L $1.835 8,269,714.68 Open -0.615% -$1,271,286.70 incl. -$22,759 costs View
Jun 4, 2026 08:00 Monero, L 1H $342.76 $346.69 Jun 4, 2026 09:00 27,717.4555 Closed +0.048% +$99,379.29 incl. -$14,251 costs View
Jun 4, 2026 Zcash, L $429.40 $439.81 Jun 7, 2026 29,696.15 Closed +0.143% +$296,115.69 incl. -$19,127 costs View
Jun 5, 2026 Monero, L $320.51 $335.27 Jun 10, 2026 19,714.7025 Closed +0.138% +$284,539.89 incl. -$9,478 costs View
Jun 5, 2026 VeChain, L $0.004853 $0.004935 Jun 7, 2026 1,952,871,230.5 Closed +0.072% +$148,763.77 incl. -$14,216 costs View
Jun 5, 2026 Zcash, L2 $260.70 $439.81 Jun 7, 2026 24,231.45 Closed +2.095% +$4,331,534.73 incl. -$9,476 costs View
Jun 5, 2026 Aave, L2 $59.76 105,740.3 Open +0.235% +$485,599.53 incl. -$9,478 costs View
Jun 9, 2026 15:00 Zcash, L 1H $428.97 $439.00 Jun 9, 2026 16:00 14,585.35 Closed +0.068% +$139,951.69 incl. -$9,385 costs View
Jun 12, 2026 Monero, DD $353.94 1,893.711 Open -0.004% -$9,121.78 incl. -$1,005 costs View
Jun 12, 2026 02:00 Monero, L 1H $373.29 $378.91 Jun 12, 2026 09:00 53,278.166 Closed +0.135% +$279,290.28 incl. -$29,832 costs View
37 positions Total: -5.24% (-$10,833,241.67)

Legal Disclaimer

This page is not a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any financial instrument, and nothing herein constitutes financial, tax, legal, or investment advice. Your use of the software and interpretation of the data presented is at your own risk.

Legal Compliance

Users are responsible for determining whether use of this information is legal in their jurisdiction. This site does not provide legal, financial, or tax advice.

Portfolio Backtest Methodology

The portfolio view simulates all strategies trading together with shared capital — matching how live trading operates on a single Binance account.

Portfolio Simulation

  • Shared Equity: All strategies share one capital pool ($1,000 per strategy). When one strategy profits, all strategies get proportionally larger allocations.
  • Allocation Cap: Each strategy is limited to max 10% of portfolio equity per day, preventing any single strategy from dominating during bull markets.
  • Daily Rebalancing: Allocations are recalculated each day from the total portfolio cash, matching how the live executor distributes capital across strategies.

Costs & Realistic Modeling

  • Trading Fees: 0.05% taker fee per trade (Binance Futures VIP 0 level)
  • Slippage: 0% on L/L2 entries (limit-style fills) and 0.05% on exits — simulates real-world market impact (0.15% round-trip cost per trade)
  • Drawdown Tracking: Equity is tracked daily including unrealized PnL from open positions. Drawdowns reflect real underwater periods, not just realized losses.
  • Funding Rates: Excluded. Smart-HODL trades longs during dips when funding is typically neutral or negative (favorable for longs).

Data & Execution

  • Multi-Timeframe: Strategies use both daily (1D) and hourly (1H) candles for entry detection, matching the live executor behavior.
  • Data Source: Binance Futures USDT perpetual contracts. Spot market data used for warmup periods before futures listing.
  • Period: January 2020 to present (in-sample). Independently validated against 2017-2019 (out-of-sample) — see below. Each strategy activates when sufficient data becomes available for its asset.
  • Updated: Results are recalculated nightly with the latest market data.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Backtests are simulations and actual trading may differ due to market conditions, liquidity, and execution timing.

Out-of-Sample Validation (2017-2019)

A strategy that only works on the data it was tuned on is overfitted. To prove Smart-HODL is not overfitted to the 2020-present regime, we ran the exact same strategy parameters against an entirely independent window — 2017-01-01 to 2019-12-31 — that was never used during parameter tuning. This window is dominated by the 2018 bear market, when most crypto assets lost 75-90% of their value.

Smart-HODL portfolio
+5.34%
CAGR over 2017-2019
Max drawdown: 32.27%
Win rate: 84.0%
Margin breaches: 0
Buy & Hold benchmark
−22.99%
CAGR over the same window
BTC return: −56.0%
ETH return: −81.0%
Basket avg return: −27.9%
Out-of-sample alpha
+77.8 pp
Strategy − Buy & Hold (net profit)
Universe: 10 strategies with sufficient history
Trades: 374
Settings: identical to live (2× lev, 10% cap)

What this proves: The same parameters that produce strong returns in the 2020-present regime also stayed positive — and well above passive holding — in the worst bear market crypto has ever seen. The system is regime-aware, not regime-specific.

What it does not promise: Bear-market years will look like the 5% number, not the larger headline CAGR shown in bull-market backtests. A realistic long-run expectation blends both regimes. Live results will differ from any backtest due to slippage, latency, and exchange behavior under stress.

Honest tier: We classify Smart-HODL as a solid retail-quant strategy — top of the publicly available systematic-strategy bracket, but not institutional hedge-fund tier (e.g. Renaissance, Citadel, Two Sigma). Six years of crypto-cycle data is not a substitute for multi-decade, multi-regime institutional track records, and we size and communicate accordingly.

OOS data: Binance Spot 1D + 1H. Universe restricted to symbols listed before 2019-09 with ≥120 days warmup.